BIG MARLEY’S UFC ON ESPN 2 DRAFTKINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN
This weekend, we’ve got a 13-fight card in Philly on large ESPN. DraftKings has some solid contests and that I look forward to pursuing the huge GPPs. The main GPP is a $15 buy and $30k belongs to 1st place with a total of $500k being paid out. They also have a brand new Qualifier for $175,000. There’ll be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they’ll compete for a $50k first location cost and $175k will probably be spread out between all 100 admissions that qualify. I won my first chair into it a couple weeks back and I will attempt to receive my 2nd seat this week if at all possible. Those Qualifier only contests can be actual bankroll suckers so be cautious chasing those too hard. I will probably stick to the top GPP this week and then throw a small number of entries at that $30 prize, and then I will likely have a few shots in the Q. I will also be publishing H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs throughout the week to get a good quantity of drama into money games.
With that said, let’s get into a couple plays I like this week along with my fade of this week:
Money Game play of the week — Main Event Stack, Justin Gaethje AND Edson Barboza
When I stack a fight in money games I need a minimum of 100 total points. Ideally much more like 150 or more, but I’ll take 100-point floor together with all the guaranteed win. With Gaethje fights, we are pretty much locked into that 100+ and we have seen his struggles even complete over 200 DK points. He’s the perfect style for accruing DraftKings points and if we use Edson as well, then we are guaranteed a win and probably 150+ points. Give me that all day. This is how I will be starting my money lineup and then I shall figure out the rest from there. I shall take the loss because we don’t desire 6 wins in money games. 1st place and 5th place get paid the exact same in a 10-man double-up, so I am not shooting for first and I’d rather play it safer with my cash lineups.
GPP drama of the week — Enrique Barzola — $8,200
This isn’t a sneaky play whatsoever but Barzola ought to be a great play if he shoots for takedowns. In his 5 UFC wins he’s 36 takedowns. That’s exactly what we need on DraftKings. Every takedown is 5-points and he is able to rack up enough to score 100+ points. If he can score over 100 DK points here at $8.2k he is for sure going to win a person $30k. I really do expect him to be chalky this week, but he’s a lot of scoring possible for me to fade the chalk. I will probably be in accord with the area on possession with my lineups, maybe overweight.
Underdog play of this week — Michelle Waterson — $7,600
I like Waterson here since she is the fighter who will be searching for takedowns in this particular fight. I believe she can find a few and she may have the ability to lock a submission if that’s the case. That’s her ceiling in this fight, but I enjoy her more for money games because of her floor. I really don’t see KK completing Waterson, therefore I think we get three complete rounds of scoring from her. In a loss she could put up 30-40 DK points and in cash games which is fine. I’ll be using her in GPPs also, but I don’t think she submits KK. I would guess she places up around ~80 DK points at a decision win if she’s ready to receive the success.
Fade of this week — Sabina Mazo ($8,800)
I am spreading my vulnerability out on most of the favorites this week in GPPs however Mazo is the one I’m interested at very least. I think the only way she outscores her 8.8k salary would be by getting another head kick KO. I really don’t think that is very likely at all and I think a decision win is likely for her. I don’t see her heading for almost any takedowns or getting many/any knockdowns, therefore I don’t see how she scores highly in a decision triumph. I have zero lineups with Mazo this week and when I had been making 100 lineups I’d still probably full fade . Hopefully it doesn’t burn me, however, she is my fade of this week.
Thank you for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If You’d like my full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every struggle about the card and provide my complete DraftKings evaluation, in Addition to all of my pick predictions, then you can find that for just $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are offered at that link too. I am 63-41for +210.99 (+$21,099) because May 19th on Premium Plays)
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